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Turan vs Shamkir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
Turan Logo

Turan

1 - 0
FT
Shamkir Logo

Shamkir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2015/2016 game between Turan and Shamkir finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Turan
20%
Draws
40%
Shamkir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular First Division 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Shamkir
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2017 I Liqa
Turan vs Shamkir
2:0
Oct 5, 2016 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Turan
0:1
May 13, 2016 I Liqa
Turan vs Shamkir
1:0
Sep 11, 2015 I Liqa
Shamkir vs Turan
3:0
Mar 17, 2015 I Liqa
Turan vs Shamkir
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 36 / 100
Shamkir 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Shamkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamkir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turan's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Shamkir has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Turan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Araz PFK
2 : 2
Turan
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
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Shamkir

(Away)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ANSAD Neftcala 26 20 2 4 74:20 62
2 Lokbatan 26 18 4 4 59:28 58
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 13 8 5 46:29 47
4 MOIK Baku 26 14 5 7 53:24 47
5 Shamkir 26 10 8 8 30:24 38
6 Zaqatala PFK 26 9 9 8 47:36 36
7 Turan 26 10 6 10 35:31 36
8 Imisli FK 26 8 8 10 28:26 32
9 FK Baku 26 9 3 14 33:42 30
10 Bakili Baku 26 8 6 12 34:46 30
11 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 31:54 30
12 Sharurspor 26 8 4 14 45:44 28
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 3 8 15 17:42 17
14 Mingachevir 26 4 3 19 14:100 15
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)