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Turan vs Shuvalan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2017/2018
Turan Logo

Turan

1 - 0
FT
Shuvalan Logo

Shuvalan

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2017/2018 game between Turan and Shuvalan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Turan
15%
Draws
57%
Shuvalan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shuvalan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of Shuvalan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shuvalan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Shuvalan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Shuvalan
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2019 I Liqa
Turan vs Shuvalan
0:1
Nov 22, 2018 I Liqa
Shuvalan vs Turan
3:1
Mar 19, 2018 I Liqa
Turan vs Shuvalan
1:0
Nov 21, 2017 I Liqa
Shuvalan vs Turan
1:0
Oct 4, 2017 I Liqa
Turan vs Shuvalan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 16 / 100
Shuvalan 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Shuvalan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shuvalan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turan scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Shuvalan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Turan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
14 Aug
Turan
1 : 0
Gabala
22 May
Turan
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1
Turan
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Shuvalan

(Away)
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Shuvalan
04 May
Shamakhi 2
1 : 0
Shuvalan
26 Apr
Shuvalan
1 : 0
Zira FK 2
16 Apr
Turan
0 : 1
Shuvalan
11 Apr
Shuvalan
4 : 0
Kapaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khazar Baku 27 15 5 7 40:18 50
2 Lokbatan 27 13 7 7 44:31 46
3 Shuvalan 27 13 6 8 30:20 45
4 MOIK Baku 27 13 5 9 40:32 44
5 Sabah Baku 27 11 7 9 41:33 40
6 Turan 27 11 6 10 34:33 39
7 Bina 27 10 5 12 33:36 35
8 Imisli FK 27 8 6 13 32:48 30
9 Agsu (Inactive) 27 8 4 15 25:48 28
10 Zaqatala PFK 27 4 7 16 22:42 19
Promotion - Premier League 2018/2019 (Main)