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Turan vs Yelimay Semey 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kenesov A.
Assist: Saidov E.
45' Event
Turlybek M.
Assist: Kenesov A.
50' Event
Duysenbekuly K.
Assist: Kenesov A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Turan and Yelimay Semey 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Turan
15%
Draws
0%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Turan a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Turan Clean Sheet 20%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turan Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 17 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.37 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 First League
Turan vs Yelimay Semey 2
4:1
Jun 25, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Turan
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turlybek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuradilov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turan 85 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turan Yelimay Semey 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turan scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Yelimay Semey 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Turan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turan VS Yelimay Semey 2
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turan

(Home)
09 Oct
Jaiyq
1 : 1
Turan
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
Page 1 of 6

Yelimay Semey 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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