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Turegano vs Colegios Diocesanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turegano host Colegios Diocesanos in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Turegano at 0.8 goals for, 2 against; Colegios Diocesanos at 0.77 for, 1.87 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.53 - 0.88) back Colegios Diocesanos to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Turegano
30%
Draws
23%
Colegios Diocesanos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turegano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colegios Diocesanos come out ahead of Turegano on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Turegano taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Turegano Clean Sheet 20%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turegano Colegios Diocesanos
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 0.8 0.77
Goals Conceded 2 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turegano 58 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turegano Colegios Diocesanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turegano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegios Diocesanos has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Turegano scored in 60% of their last 10 outings.

Away concern: Colegios Diocesanos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Turegano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Turegano VS Colegios Diocesanos
0.43 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turegano

(Home)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca B
0 : 0
Turegano
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 2

Colegios Diocesanos

(Away)
03 Oct
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)