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Turgutlu vs Nigde

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Demirel O.
80' Event
Ceylan F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Turgutlu
15%
Draws
54%
Nigde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigde have won more games recently than Turgutlu.
  • Win probability leans Nigde's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 17%
Nigde Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turgutlu Nigde
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Nigde vs Turgutlu
1:3
Dec 8, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs Nigde
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceylan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Nigde Compare

Top Goalscorer Demirel O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 12 / 100
Nigde 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turgutlu Nigde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nigde has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Turgutlu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nigde
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turgutlu

(Home)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
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Nigde

(Away)
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)