Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turgutlu vs Zonguldak Komurspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Sanliturk F.
66' Event
Durmus S.
74' Event
Bilgi U.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 game between Turgutlu and Zonguldak Komurspor finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zonguldak Komurspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Turgutlu
30%
Draws
34%
Zonguldak Komurspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Zonguldak Komurspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Turgutlu's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Zonguldak Komurspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 14%
Zonguldak Komurspor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turgutlu Zonguldak Komurspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs Zonguldak Komurspor
2:3
Oct 26, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Zonguldak Komurspor vs Turgutlu
1:0
Mar 19, 2016 3. Lig Group 1
Turgutlu vs Zonguldak Komurspor
0:1
Oct 30, 2015 3. Lig Group 1
Zonguldak Komurspor vs Turgutlu
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilgi U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Zonguldak Komurspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanliturk F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durmus S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turgutlu 35 / 100
Zonguldak Komurspor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turgutlu Zonguldak Komurspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turgutlu scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Zonguldak Komurspor let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Turgutlu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zonguldak Komurspor
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mardin 196930207364:2467
2Sebat Spor Kulubu30214573:2867
3Agri 197030177642:2758
4Zonguldak Komurspor30176741:2857
5K. Istklalspor30168655:2656
6Kirikkale FK30166844:3154
7Orduspor 196730165961:3353
8Gemlikspor301011938:2941
9Erciyes 3830971435:4834
101926 Polatli Belediye30781537:5829
11Izmir Coruhlu30771641:5828
12Nigde30691530:5327
13Edirnespor Genclik30571828:6222
14Tepecik30491724:5421
15Denizlispor305121327:5521
16Turgutlu30471934:6019