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Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Hornau

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turk Gucu Friedberg play Hornau in the Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025. Turk Gucu Friedberg are favorites here. Recently, Turk Gucu Friedberg averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Hornau averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. In past meetings, Turk Gucu Friedberg won 1, Hornau won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.75 for Turk Gucu Friedberg and 2.13 for Hornau. This points to a Turk Gucu Friedberg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Turk Gucu Friedberg
19%
Draws
21%
Hornau
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Turk Gucu Friedberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Turk Gucu Friedberg picked up more points recently compared to Hornau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.75 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Turk Gucu Friedberg Clean Sheet 10%
Hornau Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turk Gucu Friedberg Hornau
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.81 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Hornau
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Hornau vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turk Gucu Friedberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hornau Compare

Top Goalscorer Redai J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turk Gucu Friedberg 56 / 100
Hornau 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turk Gucu Friedberg Hornau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turk Gucu Friedberg attacking → ← attacking Hornau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turk Gucu Friedberg scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Hornau let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Turk Gucu Friedberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hornau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 18
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fernwald362010677:3570
2Alzenau361910791:4667
3Turk Gucu Friedberg361811783:5465
4RW Walldorf362061077:4965
5Stadtallendorf361861264:4760
6Darmstadt U21361851369:3859
7Baunatal361771267:5557
8Hunfelder361671363:5955
9Eddersheim361413974:6555
10Waldgirmes361481466:7150
11Weidenhausen3612111366:6347
12Hanauer SC361451770:7147
13Hanau361371656:7145
14VfB Marburg361281647:5944
15Unter-Flockenbach3610111562:8941
16Wolfhagen361081852:6638
17SV Steinbach36891942:8332
18Hornau366102055:9228
19TSV Steinbach Haiger II36462641:10918