Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Hornau

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Michel N.
62' Event
Redai J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Turk Gucu Friedberg
20%
Draws
7%
Hornau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turk Gucu Friedberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Turk Gucu Friedberg have won more games recently than Hornau.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Turk Gucu Friedberg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Turk Gucu Friedberg Clean Sheet 12%
Hornau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turk Gucu Friedberg Hornau
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.11 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs Hornau
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Hornau vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turk Gucu Friedberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Hornau Compare

Top Goalscorer Redai J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turk Gucu Friedberg 83 / 100
Hornau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turk Gucu Friedberg Hornau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Turk Gucu Friedberg scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Hornau has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Turk Gucu Friedberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turk Gucu Friedberg VS Hornau
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Turk Gucu Friedberg

(Home)
26 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
2 : 0
Pohlheim
19 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
5 : 0
Giessen
12 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
4 : 2
Turk Gucu Friedberg
08 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
3 : 3
Eddersheim
05 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
2 : 1
Darmstadt U21
Page 1 of 8

Hornau

(Away)
07 Jun
CSC 03 Kassel
3 : 1
Hornau
04 Jun
Hornau
3 : 5
CSC 03 Kassel
31 May
Hanau
4 : 1
Hornau
25 May
Hornau
2 : 2
Baunatal
17 May
Hunfelder
4 : 2
Hornau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernwald 36 20 10 6 77:35 70
2 Alzenau 36 19 10 7 91:46 67
3 Turk Gucu Friedberg 36 18 11 7 83:54 65
4 RW Walldorf 36 20 6 10 77:49 65
5 Stadtallendorf 36 18 6 12 64:47 60
6 Darmstadt U21 36 18 5 13 69:38 59
7 Baunatal 36 17 7 12 67:55 57
8 Hunfelder 36 16 7 13 63:59 55
9 Eddersheim 36 14 13 9 74:65 55
10 Waldgirmes 36 14 8 14 66:71 50
11 Weidenhausen 36 12 11 13 66:63 47
12 Hanauer SC 36 14 5 17 70:71 47
13 Hanau 36 13 7 16 56:71 45
14 VfB Marburg 36 12 8 16 47:59 44
15 Unter-Flockenbach 36 10 11 15 62:89 41
16 Wolfhagen 36 10 8 18 52:66 38
17 SV Steinbach 36 8 9 19 42:83 32
18 Hornau 36 6 10 20 55:92 28
19 TSV Steinbach Haiger II 36 4 6 26 41:109 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)