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Turk Gucu Friedberg vs VfB Marburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turk Gucu Friedberg host VfB Marburg in the Oberliga Hessen. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Turk Gucu Friedberg at 2.26 goals for, 1.81 against; VfB Marburg at 1.34 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Turk Gucu Friedberg slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring Turk Gucu Friedberg. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Turk Gucu Friedberg
15%
Draws
26%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turk Gucu Friedberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • VfB Marburg haven't matched Turk Gucu Friedberg's recent run of results.
  • Turk Gucu Friedberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turk Gucu Friedberg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Turk Gucu Friedberg Clean Sheet 18%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turk Gucu Friedberg VfB Marburg
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.26 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
3:4
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs VfB Marburg
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Turk Gucu Friedberg
0:1
Nov 29, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs VfB Marburg
3:3
Jun 1, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Turk Gucu Friedberg vs VfB Marburg
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turk Gucu Friedberg 85 / 100
VfB Marburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turk Gucu Friedberg VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turk Gucu Friedberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turk Gucu Friedberg found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

VfB Marburg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Turk Gucu Friedberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turk Gucu Friedberg VS VfB Marburg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turk Gucu Friedberg

(Home)
24 Oct
Turk Gucu Friedberg
5 : 1
Kassel 2
17 Oct
Hunfelder
0 : 2
Turk Gucu Friedberg
10 Oct
Turk Gucu Friedberg
0 : 2
Alzenau
02 Oct
Stadtallendorf
2 : 1
Turk Gucu Friedberg
26 Sept
Turk Gucu Friedberg
2 : 0
Pohlheim
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VfB Marburg

(Away)
24 Oct
Darmstadt U21
3 : 0
VfB Marburg
17 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 2
Baunatal
10 Oct
Hadamar
2 : 0
VfB Marburg
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 15 10 3 2 42:12 33
2 Unter-Flockenbach 15 10 2 3 40:25 32
3 Hadamar 15 8 3 4 30:22 27
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 15 8 3 4 32:22 27
5 Eddersheim 15 7 4 4 32:30 25
6 Darmstadt U21 15 7 3 5 34:18 24
7 Pohlheim 14 7 2 5 21:21 23
8 Fernwald 15 4 9 2 24:20 21
9 VfB Marburg 15 6 3 6 19:21 21
10 RW Walldorf 15 6 2 7 24:31 20
11 Hunfelder 14 6 1 7 21:22 19
12 Alzenau 15 5 4 6 19:21 19
13 CSC 03 Kassel 14 5 3 6 15:25 18
14 Baunatal 15 4 3 8 20:28 15
15 Hanauer SC 15 3 4 8 21:35 13
16 Hummetroth 14 3 3 8 21:29 12
17 Kassel 2 15 3 3 9 17:29 12
18 Giessen 15 2 3 10 18:39 9
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)