Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkey U21 vs Scotland U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Conway T.
Assist: Fiorini L.
25' Event
Yildirim B.
Assist: Canak C.
40'
Kaplan A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Turkey U21 and Scotland U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkey U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Turkey U21
6%
Draws
90%
Scotland U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Scotland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turkey U21 come out ahead of Scotland U21 on wins alone.
  • Scotland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turkey U21 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Turkey U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey U21 Scotland U21
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2024 Friendly International
Turkey U21 vs Scotland U21
2:1
Mar 25, 2022 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Turkey U21
0:2
Sep 7, 2021 Euro U21
Turkey U21 vs Scotland U21
1:1
Nov 17, 2018 Friendly International
Scotland U21 vs Turkey U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Destan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Scotland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conway T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey U21 10 / 100
Scotland U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey U21 Scotland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkey U21 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Scotland U21 conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Turkey U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkey U21 VS Scotland U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey U21

(Home)
03 Jun
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Kosovo U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
14 Nov
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Ukraine U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
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Scotland U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 3
Scotland U21
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