Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Akturkoglu K.
Assist: Nayir U.
37'
37'
Palsson V.
Assist: Gudmundsson J.
44'
44'
Gretarsson D. L.
AI Match Summary
Turkey in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turkey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turkey
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Turkey lately — more wins on the board than Iceland.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Turkey taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Turkey Clean Sheet 20%
Iceland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Turkey | Iceland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Iceland vs Turkey
2:4
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Turkey vs Iceland
3:1
Nov 14, 2019 Euro
Turkey vs Iceland
0:0
Jun 11, 2019 Euro
Iceland vs Turkey
2:1
Oct 6, 2017 World Championship
Turkey vs Iceland
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Turkey Compare
Top Goalscorer Akturkoglu K.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Iceland Compare
Top Goalscorer Palsson V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Turkey 85 / 100
Iceland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Turkey Iceland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Turkey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Turkey's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Iceland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Turkey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Turkey VS Iceland
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Turkey
(Home) 26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2 USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1 Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0 Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2 Turkey
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0 North Macedonia
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26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2 USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1 Paraguay
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0 North Macedonia
26 Mar
Turkey
1 : 0 Romania
15 Nov
Turkey
2 : 0 Bulgaria
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Iceland
(Away) 10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0 Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0 Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1 Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2 Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0 Iceland
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10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0 Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0 Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1 Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2 Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0 Iceland
Page 1 of 5
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
