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Turkey W vs Malta W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women Pendik Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Farrugia L.
Assist: Karatas E.
Own Goal
16'
Xuereb E.
29' Event
Topcu E.
Assist: Hancar K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Turkey W
15%
Draws
0%
Malta W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Turkey W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Turkey W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Turkey W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Turkey W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turkey W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Turkey W Clean Sheet 68%
Malta W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkey W Malta W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.46 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Malta W vs Turkey W
0:3
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Turkey W vs Malta W
3:0
Jan 17, 2020 Friendly International Women
Malta W vs Turkey W
1:2
Apr 11, 2010 World Cup Women
Turkey W vs Malta W
5:1
Mar 27, 2010 World Cup Women
Malta W vs Turkey W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkey W Compare

Top Goalscorer Topcu E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karabulut A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Malta W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkey W 95 / 100
Malta W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkey W Malta W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkey W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Malta W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Turkey W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Malta W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Turkey W VS Malta W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey W

(Home)
09 Jun
Malta W
0 : 3
Turkey W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1
Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Turkey W
1 : 1
Switzerland W
14 Apr
Switzerland W
3 : 1
Turkey W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1
Turkey W
Page 1 of 6

Malta W

(Away)
09 Jun
Malta W
0 : 3
Turkey W
05 Jun
Switzerland W
6 : 1
Malta W
18 Apr
Malta W
2 : 4
Northern Ireland W
14 Apr
Northern Ireland W
4 : 0
Malta W
07 Mar
Malta W
1 : 4
Switzerland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales W 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
2 Czech Republic W 6 3 2 1 18:8 11
3 Albania W 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Montenegro W 6 0 1 5 6:23 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Turkey W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Northern Ireland W 6 2 0 4 10:9 6
4 Malta W 6 0 0 6 4:24 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal W 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Finland W 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
3 Slovakia W 6 2 0 4 8:17 6
4 Latvia W 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland W 6 4 2 0 24:2 14
2 Belgium W 6 4 2 0 22:1 14
3 Israel W 6 2 0 4 10:20 6
4 Luxembourg W 6 0 0 6 1:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)