Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Zhumagaliev A.
Own Goal
46'
46'
Sub
Musaev A. In: Begimov A.
Out: Musaev A.
46'
46'
Sub
Arystanov D. In: Ospan D.
Out: Arystanov D.
AI Match Summary
The First League 2025 game between Turkistan and Aktobe 2 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Aktobe 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Aktobe 2 taking it.
- Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 16%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Turkistan | Aktobe 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 25 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.23 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turkistan
3:0
Jul 3, 2025 First League
Turkistan vs Aktobe 2
1:1
Aug 23, 2024 First League
Turkistan vs Aktobe 2
2:1
Apr 11, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turkistan
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Turkistan
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Turkistan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11
Aktobe 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Begimov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Turkistan 10 / 100
Aktobe 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Turkistan Aktobe 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aktobe 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aktobe 2 has conceded goals in 91% of their last 35 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Aktobe 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Turkistan scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Aktobe 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Turkistan
(Home) 24 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
3 : 0 Turkistan
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
02 Oct
Aktobe 2
3 : 0 Turkistan
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
19 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
6 : 1 Turkistan
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4 Kairat Almaty 2
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 0 Khan Tengri
15 Aug
Turkistan
0 : 4 Kaspij Aktau
01 Aug
Turkistan
1 : 1 Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 3
Aktobe 2
(Away) 17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1 Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3 Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1 Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0 Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5 Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1 Aktobe 2
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1 Aktobe 2
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5 Aktobe 2
30 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 1 Aktobe 2
16 Jul
Taraz
1 : 1 Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 74:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 71:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Altai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:23 | 55 |
| 4 | Shakhter Karagandy | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Zhetisay | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 58:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Akademiya Ontustik | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 44:44 | 39 |
| 8 | Taraz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | AKAS | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 42:39 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 36:60 | 28 |
| 11 | SD Family | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 33:75 | 23 |
| 12 | Khan Tengri | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34:65 | 16 |
| 14 | Turkistan | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16:80 | 9 |
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