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Turkistan vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Isaev S.
26'
Orazbek A.
44'
Suleymenov A.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Turkistan and FC Ekibastuz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Turkistan
11%
Draws
80%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on FC Ekibastuz taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Turkistan Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkistan FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2025 First League
Turkistan vs FC Ekibastuz
1:2
Jun 26, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Turkistan
1:1
Sep 5, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Turkistan
3:0
May 9, 2024 First League
Turkistan vs FC Ekibastuz
0:3
Mar 15, 2024 Kazakhstan Cup
FC Ekibastuz vs Turkistan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pachchakhanov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharenko G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkistan 10 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkistan FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: FC Ekibastuz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Turkistan found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Turkistan VS FC Ekibastuz
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkistan

(Home)
24 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
3 : 0
Turkistan
17 Oct
Turkistan
1 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Oct
Aktobe 2
3 : 0
Turkistan
25 Sept
Turkistan
1 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
19 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
6 : 1
Turkistan
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FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
23 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
3 : 0
FC Ekibastuz
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809
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