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Stadium Background

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Hamburger III

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg play Hamburger III in the Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025. Turkiye Wilhelmsburg are favorites here. Recently, Turkiye Wilhelmsburg averaged 2.09 goals scored and 3 conceded. Hamburger III averaged 1.33 goals scored and 3.83 conceded. In past meetings, Turkiye Wilhelmsburg won 4, Hamburger III won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2025 ended 9:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Turkiye Wilhelmsburg and 1.88 for Hamburger III. This points to a Turkiye Wilhelmsburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
15%
Draws
21%
Hamburger III
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Turkiye Wilhelmsburg picked up more points recently compared to Hamburger III.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Hamburger III Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Hamburger III
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 2.09 1.33
Goals Conceded 3 3.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Hamburger III
9:0
Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Hamburger III vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
3:3
Apr 13, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Hamburger III
2:1
Sep 23, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Hamburger III vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0:3
Apr 10, 2018 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Hamburger III
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Netzbandt M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yilmaz M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hamburger III Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 60 / 100
Hamburger III 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Hamburger III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Turkiye Wilhelmsburg & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.18
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg attacking → ← attacking Hamburger III

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Hamburger III let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hamburger III lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 11
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Altona34257299:3082
2Dassendorf34264498:3282
3Eimsbutteler34224896:4870
4Paloma34224884:5470
5ETSV Hamburg342031196:5063
6Niendorfer TSV34187978:4461
7HEBC Hamburg341651356:4553
8Vorwarts-Wacker341551486:9750
9TSV Buchholz 08341441670:7646
10Suderelbe341351670:8344
11SC Victoria Hamburg341251769:7341
12Sasel341171660:7340
13Turkiye Wilhelmsburg341061873:9436
14Harksheide34981763:8935
15Halstenbek-Rellingen341051953:8335
16TSV Concordia34852147:8829
17Alsterbruder34742337:9025
18Hamburger III34322945:13111