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Turkmenistan vs New Zealand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turkmenistan host New Zealand in the Friendly International. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Turkmenistan at 0.88 goals for, 1.65 against; New Zealand at 2.17 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Turkmenistan have won 0 to New Zealand's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.83) point toward New Zealand. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Turkmenistan
15%
Draws
46%
New Zealand
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • New Zealand carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Turkmenistan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkmenistan New Zealand
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Friendly International
Turkmenistan vs New Zealand
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkmenistan 49 / 100
New Zealand 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkmenistan New Zealand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkmenistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Turkmenistan scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Turkmenistan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkmenistan VS New Zealand
1 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkmenistan

(Home)
31 Mar
Thailand
2 : 1
Turkmenistan
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
05 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2
Oman
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New Zealand

(Away)
05 Oct
Japan
2 : 1
New Zealand
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2
New Zealand
27 Sept
China
0 : 3
New Zealand
24 Sept
Palestine
2 : 2
New Zealand
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
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