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Stadium Background

Turkmenistan vs Oman

Asia Asia

CAFA Nations Cup
Turkmenistan Logo

Turkmenistan

1 - 2
FT
Oman Logo

Oman

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ahallyyew R.
Own Goal
31'
Toyjanow Y.
35'
Al Rushaidi T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Turkmenistan
15%
Draws
46%
Oman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Turkmenistan haven't matched Oman's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Turkmenistan taking it.
  • Oman arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oman, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Oman have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 68%
Oman Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkmenistan Oman
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 CAFA Nations Cup
Turkmenistan vs Oman
1:2
Jun 17, 2023 CAFA Nations Cup
Turkmenistan vs Oman
0:2
Jan 17, 2019 Asian Cup
Oman vs Turkmenistan
3:1
Aug 8, 2016 Friendly International
Oman vs Turkmenistan
1:0
Nov 17, 2015 World Championship
Turkmenistan vs Oman
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turkmenistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballakow W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Oman Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghassani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkmenistan 77 / 100
Oman 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkmenistan Oman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkmenistan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oman has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Turkmenistan found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (26 games).

Recent resilience: Turkmenistan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turkmenistan VS Oman
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkmenistan

(Home)
31 Mar
Thailand
2 : 1
Turkmenistan
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
05 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2
Oman
Page 1 of 6

Oman

(Away)
26 Sept
Oman
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jun
Indonesia
3 : 0
Oman
08 Dec
Oman
2 : 1
Comoros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Oman 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Turkmenistan 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Kyrgyzstan 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 India 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
3 Tajikistan 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Afghanistan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)