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Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League TCIFA National Academy, Providenciales
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Hutchinson D.
40'
Javier K.
55'
Sub
Broderick R. In: Quashie J.
Out: Broderick R.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Turks and Caicos Islands and British Virgin Islands finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turks and Caicos Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Turks and Caicos Islands
15%
Draws
28%
British Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turks and Caicos Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turks and Caicos Islands come out ahead of British Virgin Islands on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Turks and Caicos Islands taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 15%
British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turks and Caicos Islands British Virgin Islands
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 6
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands
3:0
Sep 29, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
0:3
Oct 16, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands
2:2
Sep 9, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:1
Mar 21, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

British Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turks and Caicos Islands 84 / 100
British Virgin Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turks and Caicos Islands British Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turks and Caicos Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

British Virgin Islands has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

British Virgin Islands's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Turks and Caicos Islands's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Turks and Caicos Islands VS British Virgin Islands
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turks and Caicos Islands

(Home)
06 Oct
Montserrat
4 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
04 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
29 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 3
Turks and Caicos Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
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British Virgin Islands

(Away)
04 Oct
Turks and Caicos Islands
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
01 Oct
British Virgin Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
29 Sept
British Virgin Islands
0 : 3
Turks and Caicos Islands
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
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