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Turkspor Augsburg vs Heimstetten

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turkspor Augsburg play Heimstetten in the Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026. Heimstetten are favorites here. Recently, Turkspor Augsburg averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Heimstetten averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Turkspor Augsburg won 0, Heimstetten won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Turkspor Augsburg and 2.75 for Heimstetten. This points to a Heimstetten double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Turkspor Augsburg
18%
Draws
63%
Heimstetten
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Heimstetten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Turkspor Augsburg picked up more points recently compared to Heimstetten.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Turkspor Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkspor Augsburg Heimstetten
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Turkspor Augsburg vs Heimstetten
1:6
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Turkspor Augsburg
2:1
Apr 11, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Turkspor Augsburg
7:1
Sep 22, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Turkspor Augsburg vs Heimstetten
2:2
May 12, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Turkspor Augsburg vs Heimstetten
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkspor Augsburg 19 / 100
Heimstetten 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkspor Augsburg Heimstetten

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heimstetten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Heimstetten & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turkspor Augsburg attacking → ← attacking Heimstetten

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkspor Augsburg scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Heimstetten let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Turkspor Augsburg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Heimstetten lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 47
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Munich 1860 II32215674:2668
2Landsberg321811379:4365
3Kirchanschoring321610667:3558
4Gundelfingen32167951:3355
5SV Erlbach321651142:3553
6Pipinsried321571058:3752
7Heimstetten32149964:4651
8Deisenhofen321310944:4749
9FC Schwaig321291148:4445
10Geretsried321281249:4644
11Nordlingen3211111058:5844
12Ismaning321191250:5842
13Schalding329111243:5038
14Kottern-St. Mang32961740:5733
15FC Sturm Hauzenberg32652124:6423
16Turkspor Augsburg32452328:8317
17Turkgucu Munchen32342521:7813