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Turkspor Berlin vs TSG Neustrelitz

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turkspor Berlin play TSG Neustrelitz in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turkspor Berlin averaged 1.8 goals scored and 3.4 conceded. TSG Neustrelitz averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Turkspor Berlin won 1, TSG Neustrelitz won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 14, 2023 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Turkspor Berlin and 1.74 for TSG Neustrelitz. This points to a TSG Neustrelitz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Turkspor Berlin
15%
Draws
45%
TSG Neustrelitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSG Neustrelitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Turkspor Berlin picked up more points recently compared to TSG Neustrelitz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Turkspor Berlin Clean Sheet 12%
TSG Neustrelitz Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turkspor Berlin TSG Neustrelitz
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 2 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Turkspor Berlin vs TSG Neustrelitz
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turkspor Berlin 38 / 100
TSG Neustrelitz 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turkspor Berlin TSG Neustrelitz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TSG Neustrelitz or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turkspor Berlin attacking → ← attacking TSG Neustrelitz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkspor Berlin scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

TSG Neustrelitz let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Turkspor Berlin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TSG Neustrelitz lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88