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Turnovo vs Borec

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Division 1 2017/2018 Stadion Kukuš
Sat, Mar 24, 2018
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turnovo play Borec in the Division 1 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turnovo averaged 1 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Borec averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Turnovo won 0, Borec won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 24, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Turnovo and 1.05 for Borec. This points to a Borec double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Turnovo
15%
Draws
55%
Borec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Turnovo picked up more points recently compared to Borec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Turnovo Clean Sheet 22%
Borec Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turnovo Borec
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 1 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 2. MFL
Turnovo vs Borec
0:0
Oct 21, 2017 2. MFL
Borec vs Turnovo
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turnovo 31 / 100
Borec 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turnovo Borec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Borec & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turnovo attacking → ← attacking Borec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turnovo scored in 68% of their last 19 games.

Borec let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Turnovo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Borec lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belasica Strumica25185281:1159
2Borec25165443:1553
3Bregalnica Stip25158254:2053
4Kozuf Gevgelija25124934:3340
5Tikves251221145:4337
6Plackovica25931340:5030
7Kamenica Sasa25741432:4225
8Osogovo25541626:5319
9Pobeda Valandovo25251825:9510
10Turnovo91088:263
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Makedonija GP27175549:2356
2KF Gostivar27166548:2654
3Vellazerimi27165646:2753
4Struga27136844:3045
5FK Labunishta27119739:2542
6Teteks271231242:4239
7Gorno Lisice271051232:4635
8Lok. Skopje27681330:4126
9Zajazi27451824:6217
10Novaci27242123:559