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Turriff United vs Nairn County

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turriff United play Nairn County in the Highland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Turriff United averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Nairn County averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Turriff United won 2, Nairn County won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Turriff United and 1.31 for Nairn County. This points to a Turriff United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Turriff United
15%
Draws
40%
Nairn County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turriff United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Turriff United picked up more points recently compared to Nairn County.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Turriff United Clean Sheet 18%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turriff United Nairn County
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Highland League
Turriff United vs Nairn County
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Scottish Cup
Nairn County vs Turriff United
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Turriff United
3:0
Apr 2, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Turriff United
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Highland League
Turriff United vs Nairn County
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turriff United 44 / 100
Nairn County 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turriff United Nairn County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Turriff United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Turriff United attacking → ← attacking Nairn County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turriff United scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Nairn County let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Turriff United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nairn County lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 40
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

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