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Turris vs Certosa V. Campagnano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D Stadio Amerigo Liguori, Torre del Greco
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Certosa V. Campagnano go into this one as the clear favorite. Turris have averaged 0.9 scored and 2.15 conceded recently, against Certosa V. Campagnano's 2 scored and 0.71 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward Certosa V. Campagnano. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Turris
20%
Draws
42%
Certosa V. Campagnano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Certosa V. Campagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Certosa V. Campagnano have won more games recently than Turris.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Certosa V. Campagnano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Turris Clean Sheet 20%
Certosa V. Campagnano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turris Certosa V. Campagnano
Matches Played 20 7
Wins 4 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.9 2
Goals Conceded 2.15 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turris 32 / 100
Certosa V. Campagnano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turris Certosa V. Campagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Turris stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Turris's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Certosa V. Campagnano let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Difficult form: Certosa V. Campagnano registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Turris VS Certosa V. Campagnano
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Turris

(Home)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
San Felice Gladiator
1 : 1
Turris
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
Page 1 of 4

Certosa V. Campagnano

(Away)
07 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
4 : 1
Albalonga
04 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
2 : 1
Aranova
27 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Certosa V. Campagnano
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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