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Stadium Background

Turris vs Manfredonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H Stadio Amerigo Liguori, Torre del Greco
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Turris host Manfredonia in the Serie D - Group H. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Manfredonia have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Turris have conceded 2.05 and scored 0.86. Past meetings favor Turris slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2018, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 0.81) back Manfredonia to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Turris
35%
Draws
32%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Manfredonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Turris's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Turris here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Turris Clean Sheet 20%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Turris Manfredonia
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Turris vs Manfredonia
2:1
Sep 3, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Turris
0:1
Apr 24, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Turris
4:0
Dec 6, 2015 Serie D - Group H
Turris vs Manfredonia
2:0
Mar 16, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Turris
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Turris 36 / 100
Manfredonia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Turris Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Turris has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Manfredonia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Turris scored in 57% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

Turris VS Manfredonia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Turris

(Home)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
San Felice Gladiator
1 : 1
Turris
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
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Manfredonia

(Away)
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0
Bisceglie
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2
Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)