Sport Picks
TUS Bovinghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025 
Match Events
5'
5'
Algan I.
22'
22'
Podehl M.
29'
29'
Podehl M.
AI Match Summary
ASC 09 Dortmund in this Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASC 09 Dortmund.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to ASC 09 Dortmund lately — more wins on the board than TUS Bovinghausen.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- ASC 09 Dortmund have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TUS Bovinghausen Clean Sheet 16%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TUS Bovinghausen | ASC 09 Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 18 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 2.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.86 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund
1:9
Aug 9, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs TUS Bovinghausen
2:0
Feb 3, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
ASC 09 Dortmund vs TUS Bovinghausen
2:0
Aug 12, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund
0:2
Feb 11, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs ASC 09 Dortmund
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TUS Bovinghausen Compare
Top Goalscorer Algan I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
ASC 09 Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Podehl M.
4 Goals Assists Leader Santo J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TUS Bovinghausen 36 / 100
ASC 09 Dortmund 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TUS Bovinghausen ASC 09 Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
ASC 09 Dortmund let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: TUS Bovinghausen scored in 52% of their last 21 outings.
ASC 09 Dortmund's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS ASC 09 Dortmund
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
TUS Bovinghausen
(Home) 23 Mar
Verl II
2 : 0 TUS Bovinghausen
16 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
0 : 2 Schermbeck 2020
09 Mar
Concordia Wiemelhausen
5 : 3 TUS Bovinghausen
01 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 9 ASC 09 Dortmund
23 Feb
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 7 Vreden
Page 1 of 5
16 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
0 : 2 Schermbeck 2020
01 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 9 ASC 09 Dortmund
23 Feb
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 7 Vreden
09 Feb
TUS Bovinghausen
0 : 8 Siegen
13 Dec
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 4 Clarholz
Page 1 of 3
ASC 09 Dortmund
(Away) 27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3 TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1 Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2 ASC 09 Dortmund
30 Aug
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 3 Sprockhovel
23 Aug
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
1 : 4 ASC 09 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2 ASC 09 Dortmund
23 Aug
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
1 : 4 ASC 09 Dortmund
16 Aug
Vreden
5 : 2 ASC 09 Dortmund
09 Aug
Maaslingen
3 : 1 ASC 09 Dortmund
31 May
TUS Ennepetal
1 : 1 ASC 09 Dortmund
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siegen | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 70:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Bochum II | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 79:31 | 71 |
| 3 | ASC 09 Dortmund | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 81:53 | 62 |
| 4 | Westfalia Rhynern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 58:46 | 52 |
| 5 | Eintracht Rheine | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 56:46 | 50 |
| 6 | Schermbeck 2020 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 62:59 | 50 |
| 7 | Lippstadt | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 54:51 | 50 |
| 8 | SG Wattenscheid | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 50:47 | 49 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster 2 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 65:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Gievenbeck | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 51:49 | 44 |
| 11 | Vreden | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 52:56 | 43 |
| 12 | Verl II | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:51 | 43 |
| 13 | Ahlen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 56:69 | 42 |
| 14 | Finnentrop/Bamenohl | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 45:68 | 41 |
| 15 | Clarholz | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40:47 | 39 |
| 16 | TUS Ennepetal | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 52:75 | 37 |
| 17 | Erkenschwick | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 41:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Concordia Wiemelhausen | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 49:101 | 26 |
| 19 | TUS Bovinghausen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)
