Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TUS Dietkirchen vs VfB Marburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Leukel D.
20' Event
Williams D.
28' Event
Freese M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
TUS Dietkirchen
15%
Draws
42%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TUS Dietkirchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • VfB Marburg have won more games recently than TUS Dietkirchen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
TUS Dietkirchen Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TUS Dietkirchen VfB Marburg
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
TUS Dietkirchen vs VfB Marburg
2:2
Aug 26, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs TUS Dietkirchen
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TUS Dietkirchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Leukel D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

VfB Marburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freese M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TUS Dietkirchen 30 / 100
VfB Marburg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TUS Dietkirchen VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Marburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

TUS Dietkirchen found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

VfB Marburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

VfB Marburg's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

TUS Dietkirchen VS VfB Marburg
0 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TUS Dietkirchen

(Home)
07 Jul
TUS Dietkirchen
0 : 3
FSV Frankfurt
01 Jun
TUS Dietkirchen
2 : 3
RW Walldorf
25 May
Alzenau
4 : 1
TUS Dietkirchen
18 May
TUS Dietkirchen
6 : 3
Weidenhausen
11 May
TUS Dietkirchen
1 : 2
Viktoria Griesheim
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VfB Marburg

(Away)
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)