Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TuS Osdorf vs Hamburger III

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nikroo S.
24' Event
Siegfried S.
27' Event
Schmidt R.

AI Match Summary

TuS Osdorf in this Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TuS Osdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
TuS Osdorf
6%
Draws
4%
Hamburger III
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TuS Osdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TuS Osdorf lately — more wins on the board than Hamburger III.
  • Win probability leans TuS Osdorf's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TuS Osdorf Clean Sheet 19%
Hamburger III Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TuS Osdorf Hamburger III
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 27
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TuS Osdorf vs Hamburger III
3:2
Sep 13, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Hamburger III vs TuS Osdorf
0:1
Jan 21, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Hamburger III vs TuS Osdorf
2:1
Oct 1, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
TuS Osdorf vs Hamburger III
9:1
Jan 22, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
TuS Osdorf vs Hamburger III
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TuS Osdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Spranger F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hamburger III Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikroo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Siegfried S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TuS Osdorf 85 / 100
Hamburger III 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TuS Osdorf Hamburger III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamburger III let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Hamburger III has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

TuS Osdorf found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Hamburger III
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sasel362646108:4082
2Dassendorf362385104:3777
3Eimsbutteler362110587:3773
4Altona36218778:4571
5Niendorfer TSV36217883:5070
6Paloma36198971:5465
7Suderelbe361761386:6157
8TSV Concordia361661472:6354
9HEBC Hamburg3613111258:5250
10SC Victoria Hamburg361451780:8047
11Harksheide3610131345:6743
12Turkiye Wilhelmsburg361251965:7641
13Tornesch3610101653:8940
14TSV Buchholz 08361161945:7939
15Rugenbergen36981947:7535
16Hamm United36962145:8033
17Hamburger III36942355:9131
18TuS Osdorf36752445:9326
19Curslack-Neuengamme36582359:11723