Sport Picks
Tuttocuoio vs SCD Progresso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
23'
23'
Calabrese A.
43'
43'
Mascanzoni M.
AI Match Summary
SCD Progresso in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SCD Progresso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SCD Progresso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- SCD Progresso have won more games recently than Tuttocuoio.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 10%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tuttocuoio | SCD Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 0 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 23 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs SCD Progresso
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Tuttocuoio
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Tuttocuoio
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs SCD Progresso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tuttocuoio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
SCD Progresso Compare
Top Goalscorer Calabrese A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mascanzoni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.09
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tuttocuoio 30 / 100
SCD Progresso 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tuttocuoio SCD Progresso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SCD Progresso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: SCD Progresso has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tuttocuoio scored in 37% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Tuttocuoio VS SCD Progresso
0.57 Goals Scored 1.5
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tuttocuoio
(Home) 03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3 Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0 Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1 Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0 Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3 Trevigliese
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1 Sant'Angelo
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
29 Mar
Tuttocuoio
0 : 6 Correggese
15 Mar
Tuttocuoio
0 : 4 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 3
SCD Progresso
(Away) 04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0 SCD Progresso
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0 SCD Progresso
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
