Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tuttocuoio vs SCD Progresso

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Calabrese A.
43' Event
Mascanzoni M.

AI Match Summary

SCD Progresso in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SCD Progresso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Tuttocuoio
30%
Draws
64%
SCD Progresso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SCD Progresso have won more games recently than Tuttocuoio.
  • Model gives SCD Progresso a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 12%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuttocuoio SCD Progresso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs SCD Progresso
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Tuttocuoio
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Tuttocuoio
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs SCD Progresso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuttocuoio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

SCD Progresso Compare

Top Goalscorer Calabrese A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mascanzoni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuttocuoio 10 / 100
SCD Progresso 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuttocuoio SCD Progresso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Progresso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tuttocuoio found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Tuttocuoio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tuttocuoio VS SCD Progresso
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuttocuoio

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0
Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
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SCD Progresso

(Away)
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1
Correggese
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)