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Tvaaker vs Frolunda

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Tvaaker and Frolunda finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tvaaker
33%
Draws
40%
Frolunda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Frolunda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tvaaker come out ahead of Frolunda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Frolunda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tvaaker have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 14%
Frolunda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Frolunda
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Frolunda
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Frolunda
6:2
Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Tvaaker
1:4
Mar 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Frolunda
6:0
Oct 9, 2011 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Frolunda
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 27 / 100
Frolunda 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Frolunda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Frolunda let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tvaaker remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS Frolunda
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%