Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tvaaker vs Jonkoping

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Övrevi IP, Tvååker
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ademi L.
28' Event
Sjoland M.
32'
Johansson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Tvaaker and Jonkoping finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tvaaker
30%
Draws
47%
Jonkoping
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jonkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tvaaker come out ahead of Jonkoping on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tvaaker have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 20%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Jonkoping
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.32 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Tvaaker
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Jonkoping
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Jonkoping
2:2
May 13, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Tvaaker
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Ademi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sjoland M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jonkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Grauberg K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 36 / 100
Jonkoping 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Jonkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Jonkoping conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Tvaaker has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS Jonkoping
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
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Jonkoping

(Away)
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
16 Sept
Jonkoping
1 : 0
Atvidaberg
13 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Jonkoping
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Angelholm
0 : 1
Jonkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 23 14 6 3 49:27 48
2 Hassleholms IF 23 13 3 7 43:27 42
3 Atvidaberg 23 12 6 5 46:33 42
4 Lunds Bois 24 11 8 5 46:28 41
5 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
6 Rosengard 23 9 8 6 39:33 35
7 Trollhattan 23 9 7 7 37:34 34
8 Jonkoping 23 9 6 8 29:22 33
9 Tvaaker 23 9 6 8 30:33 33
10 Olympic 23 9 3 11 40:44 30
11 Eskilsminne 23 8 5 10 38:42 29
12 Kristianstad 24 7 6 11 29:36 27
13 Skovde 23 6 9 8 26:35 27
14 Laholms 23 6 4 13 30:41 22
15 Angelholm 23 3 9 11 27:43 18
16 Utsikten 23 1 6 16 18:57 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)