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Tvaaker vs Trollhattan

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Övrevi IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker play Trollhattan in the Division 1 - Södra. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tvaaker averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Trollhattan averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Tvaaker won 2, Trollhattan won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Tvaaker and 1.06 for Trollhattan. This points to a Tvaaker double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tvaaker
29%
Draws
27%
Trollhattan
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Tvaaker picked up more points recently compared to Trollhattan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 22%
Trollhattan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Trollhattan
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.39 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Trollhattan
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Trollhattan
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Tvaaker
1:3
Aug 26, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Trollhattan
0:3
Jun 26, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Tvaaker
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Laci M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Trollhattan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilly H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 44 / 100
Trollhattan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Trollhattan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tvaaker or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tvaaker attacking → ← attacking Trollhattan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tvaaker scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Trollhattan let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Tvaaker went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trollhattan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 42
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trelleborg1495033:1232
2AFC Malmo1483328:1627
3Atvidaberg1475230:1826
4Lunds Bois1475226:1626
5Rosengard1464423:1922
6Hassleholms IF1463527:2221
7Tvaaker1463517:1921
8Eskilsminne1562725:2820
9Olympic1461722:2419
10Jonkoping1453620:1518
11Angelholm1437422:2216
12Skovde1437411:2016
13Kristianstad1535716:2414
14Laholms1441921:2913
15Trollhattan1427518:2613
16Utsikten14111210:394