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Tvaaker vs Varbergs GIF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 Övrevi IP, Tvååker
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Laci M.
39' Event
Rolfsson V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Tvaaker and Varbergs GIF finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tvaaker
20%
Draws
51%
Varbergs GIF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tvaaker come out ahead of Varbergs GIF on wins alone.
  • Tvaaker are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tvaaker here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 20%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tvaaker Varbergs GIF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Varbergs GIF
2:0
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Tvaaker
0:7
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Varbergs GIF
4:0
Feb 11, 2020 Club Friendly
Tvaaker vs Varbergs GIF
3:0
Aug 19, 2017 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Tvaaker
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Laci M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rolfsson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Varbergs GIF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tvaaker 36 / 100
Varbergs GIF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tvaaker Varbergs GIF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tvaaker scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Varbergs GIF has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tvaaker went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tvaaker VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tvaaker

(Home)
26 Sept
Trollhattan
4 : 2
Tvaaker
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
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Varbergs GIF

(Away)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)