Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TVD Velbert vs Meerbusch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Cain M.
48' Event
Bas Y.
62' Event
Kapenda J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 game between TVD Velbert and Meerbusch finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Meerbusch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
TVD Velbert
20%
Draws
32%
Meerbusch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TVD Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Meerbusch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Meerbusch a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 15%
Meerbusch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVD Velbert Meerbusch
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.51
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Meerbusch
1:5
Nov 10, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Meerbusch vs TVD Velbert
0:0
May 5, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Meerbusch
2:2
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Meerbusch vs TVD Velbert
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Meerbusch
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TVD Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapenda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Meerbusch Compare

Top Goalscorer Cain M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bas Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVD Velbert 10 / 100
Meerbusch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVD Velbert Meerbusch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meerbusch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

TVD Velbert's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Meerbusch conceded in 76% of 37 recent games.

Meerbusch lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Meerbusch
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TVD Velbert

(Home)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
Page 1 of 6

Meerbusch

(Away)
26 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
Uerdingen
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
13 Sept
Sonsbeck
0 : 0
Meerbusch
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
Scherpenberg
0 : 0
Meerbusch
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)