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TVMK Tallinn II vs Tartu Valk

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2007 Kadrioru Staadion
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2007 game between TVMK Tallinn II and Tartu Valk finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TVMK Tallinn II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
TVMK Tallinn II
33%
Draws
40%
Tartu Valk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tartu Valk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TVMK Tallinn II come out ahead of Tartu Valk on wins alone.
  • Tartu Valk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TVMK Tallinn II here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
TVMK Tallinn II Clean Sheet 15%
Tartu Valk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TVMK Tallinn II Tartu Valk
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2007 Esiliiga
TVMK Tallinn II vs Tartu Valk
4:2
Jul 29, 2007 Esiliiga
Tartu Valk vs TVMK Tallinn II
1:4
May 20, 2007 Esiliiga
TVMK Tallinn II vs Tartu Valk
2:2
Apr 22, 2007 Esiliiga
Tartu Valk vs TVMK Tallinn II
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TVMK Tallinn II 27 / 100
Tartu Valk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TVMK Tallinn II Tartu Valk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TVMK Tallinn II found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Tartu Valk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: TVMK Tallinn II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TVMK Tallinn II VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia U2136275495:2086
2Flora II36246697:3378
3Sillamae Kalev36209767:4069
4Tammeka Tartu U213614111151:3953
5TVMK Tallinn II361581381:6853
6Kalju361391469:6948
7Valga Warrior361351872:7344
8Tulevik Viljandi II36972037:8434
9Tartu Valk36782149:9329
10Elva36323117:11611