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Twente W vs AZ Alkmaar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women
Sun, Dec 20, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Twente W host AZ Alkmaar W in the Eredivisie Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Twente W have averaged 2.41 scored and 1 conceded recently, against AZ Alkmaar W's 1.54 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Twente W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 0:5. xG projections (2.38 - 1.44) back Twente W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Twente W
15%
Draws
24%
AZ Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Twente W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Twente W lately — more wins on the board than AZ Alkmaar W.
  • Model gives Twente W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Twente W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Twente W Clean Sheet 16%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Twente W AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 21 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.41 1.54
Goals Conceded 1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Twente W
0:5
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Twente W
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs AZ Alkmaar W
4:1
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Twente W
0:4
May 17, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twente W 84 / 100
AZ Alkmaar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Twente W AZ Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Twente W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Twente W scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Twente W VS AZ Alkmaar W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Twente W

(Home)
04 Oct
Twente W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
Twente W
4 : 0
Feyenoord W
06 Sept
Twente W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
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AZ Alkmaar W

(Away)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 8 6 0 2 21:10 18
3 PSV W 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 8 4 0 4 11:12 12
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 8 2 0 6 9:21 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)