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Twister Tallinn vs FC Lootos Polva

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2008/2009
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Twister Tallinn host FC Lootos Polva in the Estonian Cup 2008/2009. This has FC Lootos Polva written all over it on paper. Twister Tallinn have averaged 1.71 scored and 3.71 conceded recently, against FC Lootos Polva's 2.88 scored and 3.88 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Lootos Polva slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2008, ending 1:6. The numbers (2.79 xG vs 3.29) point toward FC Lootos Polva. FC Lootos Polva in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Twister Tallinn
6%
Draws
4%
FC Lootos Polva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Twister Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Lootos Polva has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Twister Tallinn.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Twister Tallinn.
  • Cup tournament structure in Estonian Cup 2008/2009 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Twister Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
FC Lootos Polva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Twister Tallinn FC Lootos Polva
Matches Played 10 21
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.71 2.88
Goals Conceded 3.71 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.71 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2008 Estonian Cup
Twister Tallinn vs FC Lootos Polva
1:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Twister Tallinn 83 / 100
FC Lootos Polva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Twister Tallinn FC Lootos Polva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Twister Tallinn scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

FC Lootos Polva let in goals in 100% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Twister Tallinn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Lootos Polva lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Twister Tallinn VS FC Lootos Polva
1.71 Goals Scored 2.88
3.71 Goals Conceded 3.88
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
71% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora3
Johvi Phoenix1
Elva B2
Kalju II3
Levadia10
Tulevik Viljandi II0
Tallinna Kalev0
Narva2
Sillamae Kalev3
Kuressaare1
FC Lootos Polva0
Tammeka Tartu2
Ganvix Turi2
Toompea0
Tulevik1
Kalju2
Quarter-finals
Flora4
Kalju II0
Levadia1
Narva3
Sillamae Kalev3
Tammeka Tartu0
Ganvix Turi1
Kalju4
Semi-finals
Flora3
Narva0
Sillamae Kalev0
Kalju1
Final
Flora1
Kalju0