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Txantrea vs CD Aluvion

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 game between Txantrea and CD Aluvion finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Txantrea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Txantrea
20%
Draws
10%
CD Aluvion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Txantrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Txantrea come out ahead of CD Aluvion on wins alone.
  • Model gives Txantrea a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Txantrea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 16%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Txantrea CD Aluvion
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.65 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs CD Aluvion
4:1
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Txantrea
0:2
Apr 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs CD Aluvion
3:1
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Txantrea
1:2
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Txantrea
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Txantrea 84 / 100
CD Aluvion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Txantrea CD Aluvion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Txantrea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Txantrea found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (43 games).

CD Aluvion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Txantrea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Txantrea VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Txantrea

(Home)
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
Page 1 of 9

CD Aluvion

(Away)
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0
CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3
Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1
CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6
Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1
CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tudelano 38 28 6 4 87:24 90
2 Izarra 38 25 8 5 78:24 83
3 Valle Egues 38 19 9 10 57:46 66
4 Mutilvera 38 19 9 10 60:34 66
5 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 58:35 65
6 Iruna 38 16 13 9 52:36 61
7 AD San Juan 38 12 20 6 38:30 56
8 Cirbonero 38 15 8 15 51:46 53
9 CD Lourdes 38 15 8 15 52:56 53
10 Oberena 38 14 10 14 42:39 52
11 Pamplona 38 12 13 13 51:51 49
12 Murchante 38 11 12 15 48:57 45
13 Huarte 38 10 14 14 45:50 44
14 Aoiz 38 10 12 16 37:49 42
15 CD Aluvion 38 9 14 15 34:44 41
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 51:78 41
17 CD Ardoi 38 9 11 18 29:57 38
18 Lagun Artea 38 10 7 21 40:79 37
19 CD River Ega 38 7 6 25 26:73 27
20 Pena Azagresa 38 5 10 23 34:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)