Sport Picks

Tychy vs Pogon Siedlce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Polish Cup Tychy City Stadium, Tychy

Tychy

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

4 - 2

05:30 PM

Pogon Siedlce

Our Tip

Match Events

Plichta K.

Assist: Kadzior D.

18'

Plichta K.

Assist: Olkowski P.

34'

Szczytniewski S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Tychy

20%

Draws

28%

Pogon Siedlce

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tychy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Tychy have won more games recently than Pogon Siedlce.
Model gives Tychy a 52% chance of winning this.
Tychy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tychy, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Tychy here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Tychy Clean Sheet 20%

Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tychy	Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	13	9
Draws	11	4
Losses	4	13
Goals Scored	1.36	1.19
Goals Conceded	1	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Polish Cup

Tychy vs Pogon Siedlce

4:2

Apr 12, 2026 Division 1

Pogon Siedlce vs Tychy

0:1

Sep 27, 2025 Division 1

Tychy vs Pogon Siedlce

1:3

Mar 7, 2025 Division 1

Tychy vs Pogon Siedlce

2:0

Aug 21, 2024 Division 1

Pogon Siedlce vs Tychy

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tychy Compare

Top Goalscorer Plichta K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Chorosinski J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Demianiuk C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rosolek M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tychy 85 / 100

Pogon Siedlce 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tychy Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tychy Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tychy went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tychy found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Pogon Siedlce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tychy VS Pogon Siedlce

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tychy

(Home)

25 Oct

Tychy

0 : 0

Podhale Nowy Targ

17 Oct

Legia II

1 : 2

Tychy

11 Oct

Tychy

3 : 0

Leczna

03 Oct

Hutnik Krakow

0 : 2

Tychy

20 Sept

Tychy

0 : 0

Sandecja Nowy S.

Page 1 of 6

Pogon Siedlce

(Away)

25 Oct

Odra Opole

0 : 1

Pogon Siedlce

18 Oct

Pogon Siedlce

3 : 4

S. Rzeszow

15 Oct

Pogon Siedlce

1 : 3

Puszcza

09 Oct

Podbeskidzie

1 : 0

Pogon Siedlce

20 Sept

Pogon Siedlce

2 : 1

Arka Gdynia

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Legnica -

TBD -

Chrobry Glogow -

Widzew Lodz II -

TBD -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

TBD -

Zaglebie -

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda -

TBD -

Unia Skierniewice 2

Kleczew 3

Podhale Nowy Targ 2

Chojniczanka 0

TBD -

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -

Avia Swidnik -

TBD -

KS Wieczysta Krakow -

Korona Kielce II -

TBD -

Radomiak Radom -

Warta Poznan 0

R. Rzeszow 1

TBD -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

TBD -

Podbeskidzie 2

Hutnik Krakow 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

TBD -

Sandecja Nowy S. 3

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0

Beskid Andrychow -

TBD -

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Stal Stalowa Wola 2

Motor Lublin -

TBD -

Legia -

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork -

TBD -

Lechia Gdansk -

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice -

TBD -

Polonia Warszawa -

Widzew Lodz -

TBD -

Korona Kielce -

Plock II -

TBD -

Puszcza -

Luzino -

TBD -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow 3

LKS Lodz II 1

TBD -

Cracovia -

Zielona Gora -

TBD -

Ruch Chorzow -

Gornik Zabrze II -

TBD -

Ol. Grudziadz 5

Swit Szczecin 3

Suwalki -

TBD -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

Chemik Bydgoszcz -

TBD -

Piast Gliwice -

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

TBD -

Wisla -

Slask Wroclaw -

TBD -

Pogon Szczecin -

Leczna 2

KKS Kalisz 0

TBD -

Stal Mielec -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0

TBD -

LKS Lodz -

Kluczevia Stargard -

TBD -

Pogon Siedlce 3

GKS Jastrzebie 0

1/32-finals

Legnica 0

Chrobry Glogow 1

Widzew Lodz II 1

Polonia Bytom 2

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3

Zaglebie 2

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda 1

Kleczew 2

Podhale Nowy Targ 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1

Avia Swidnik 3

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1

Korona Kielce II 0

Radomiak Radom 1

R. Rzeszow 0

Arka Gdynia 4

S. Rzeszow 3

Podbeskidzie 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3

Sandecja Nowy S. 2

Beskid Andrychow 1

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Motor Lublin 3

Legia 0

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork 1

Lechia Gdansk 2

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice 0

Polonia Warszawa 1

Widzew Lodz 0

Korona Kielce 1

Plock II 0

Puszcza 2

Luzino 2

Wisla Plock 3

Pruszkow 2

Cracovia 1

Zielona Gora 0

Ruch Chorzow 2

Gornik Zabrze II 3

Ol. Grudziadz 4

Suwalki 1

Termalica Bruk-Bet 5

Chemik Bydgoszcz 0

Piast Gliwice 3

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole 2

Wisla 1

Slask Wroclaw 2

Pogon Szczecin 1

Leczna 4

Stal Mielec 3

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

LKS Lodz 0

Kluczevia Stargard 2

Pogon Siedlce 3

1/16-finals

Chrobry Glogow -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1

Lech Poznan 0

Kleczew 2

Podhale Nowy Targ 1

Avia Swidnik -

Radomiak Radom -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

Slask Wroclaw II -

Motor Lublin 1

Rakow Czestochowa 2

Lechia Gdansk -

Jagiellonia -

Polonia Warszawa -

Korona Kielce -

Puszcza -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow -

Ruch Chorzow -

Ol. Grudziadz 0

Termalica Bruk-Bet 1

Piast Gliwice 0

Gornik Zabrze 1

Odra Opole -

Slask Wroclaw -

Leczna 1

GKS Katowice 0

Tychy -

Pogon Siedlce -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Tychy vs Pogon Siedlce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Tychy

Pogon Siedlce

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Tychy Compare

Pogon Siedlce Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Tychy

Pogon Siedlce

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA