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Tyreso vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tyreso play Trosa-Vagnharads SK in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2021. Tyreso are favorites here. Recently, Tyreso averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3.87 conceded. Trosa-Vagnharads SK averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. In past meetings, Tyreso won 1, Trosa-Vagnharads SK won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 24, 2021 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Tyreso and 1.00 for Trosa-Vagnharads SK. This points to a Tyreso double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tyreso
25%
Draws
15%
Trosa-Vagnharads SK
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tyreso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Tyreso picked up more points recently compared to Trosa-Vagnharads SK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Tyreso Clean Sheet 23%
Trosa-Vagnharads SK Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tyreso Trosa-Vagnharads SK
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1.62
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Tyreso vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK
1:2
Jun 19, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Trosa-Vagnharads SK vs Tyreso
7:0
Oct 3, 2020 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Tyreso vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK
3:1
Jun 27, 2020 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Trosa-Vagnharads SK vs Tyreso
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tyreso 59 / 100
Trosa-Vagnharads SK 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tyreso Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyreso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tyreso & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tyreso attacking → ← attacking Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyreso scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Trosa-Vagnharads SK let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tyreso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trosa-Vagnharads SK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 30
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Motala28196376:2363
2Nordic United28188282:3762
3Nykopings28183788:4057
4Huddinge28155859:3250
5Karlslund28154963:4649
6Syrianska28145963:4847
7Mjolby AI FF281081061:5038
8Smedby281081043:4038
9Trosa-Vagnharads SK281061256:6036
10Arameisk-Syrianska281121537:5835
11IFK Eskilstuna28961345:6233
12Varmbols28941548:6631
13Eskilstuna City28581535:5923
14Tyreso28432133:10915
15Rynninge28422240:9914