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Tyumen vs Alania Vladikavkaz

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Geolog Stadium, Tyumen
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Abdulkhamidov M.
15' Event
Shitov V.
30'
Petrov M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 game between Tyumen and Alania Vladikavkaz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tyumen
35%
Draws
15%
Alania Vladikavkaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Alania Vladikavkaz haven't matched Tyumen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tyumen a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 18%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tyumen Alania Vladikavkaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Alania Vladikavkaz
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Tyumen
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Tyumen vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Tyumen
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 FNL
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Tyumen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tyumen Compare

Top Goalscorer Shitov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulkhamidov M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tyumen 85 / 100
Alania Vladikavkaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tyumen Alania Vladikavkaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tyumen's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alania Vladikavkaz has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tyumen VS Alania Vladikavkaz
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tyumen

(Home)
19 Sept
Tyumen
2 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
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Alania Vladikavkaz

(Away)
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 0
Dynamo Vladivostok
30 Aug
Kaluga
1 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
22 Aug
Mashuk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 18 11 3 4 23:19 36
2 Kirov 18 8 9 1 31:16 33
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 18 7 5 6 23:22 26
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 6 6 6 21:20 24
5 Amkar 18 6 6 6 30:26 24
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 5 7 6 29:36 22
7 Zenit St Petersburg 2 18 6 4 8 33:37 22
8 Tyumen 18 5 5 8 25:25 20
9 Dynamo Stavropol 18 5 3 10 20:26 18
10 Kuban 18 4 6 8 17:25 18
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)