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Stadium Background

Tyumen vs Amkar

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver Geolog Stadium, Tyumen
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Burykin K. In: Agureev D.
Out: Burykin K.
46'
Sub
Dmitriev M. In: Polev A.
Out: Dmitriev M.
47'
Maryanov A.

AI Match Summary

Amkar in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amkar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Tyumen
20%
Draws
19%
Amkar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Amkar at 1.89 per game, Tyumen at 1.72.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Tyumen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 68%
Amkar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tyumen Amkar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Tyumen
2:3
Aug 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Amkar
0:2
May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Amkar
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Tyumen
2:0
Oct 29, 2024 Russian Cup
Tyumen vs Amkar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tyumen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Amkar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatenko V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tyumen 95 / 100
Amkar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tyumen Amkar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Tyumen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tyumen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Amkar conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tyumen VS Amkar
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tyumen

(Home)
19 Sept
Tyumen
2 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
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Amkar

(Away)
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
30 Aug
Amkar
2 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
25 Aug
Kirov
5 : 4
Amkar
22 Aug
Torpedo Miass
5 : 0
Amkar
16 Aug
Amkar
5 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 2 8 6 2 0 23:4 20
2 Tyumen 8 5 1 2 20:11 16
3 Amkar 7 4 1 2 17:11 13
4 Torpedo Miass 8 3 0 5 13:13 9
5 Dynamo Stavropol 7 2 2 3 7:13 8
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
7 Irtysh Omsk 8 1 1 6 5:20 4
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)