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Tzeirei Tira vs H. Herzliya

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirei Tira play H. Herzliya in the Liga Alef South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tzeirei Tira averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. H. Herzliya averaged 1 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, Tzeirei Tira won 2, H. Herzliya won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.19 for Tzeirei Tira and 0.19 for H. Herzliya. This points to a Tzeirei Tira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tzeirei Tira
24%
Draws
28%
H. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Tzeirei Tira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Tzeirei Tira picked up more points recently compared to H. Herzliya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.19 vs 0.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Tzeirei Tira Clean Sheet 35%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 27%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirei Tira H. Herzliya
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 10 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga Alef South
Tzeirei Tira vs H. Herzliya
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Tzeirei Tira
2:2
Jan 10, 2025 Liga Alef South
Tzeirei Tira vs H. Herzliya
2:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Tzeirei Tira
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tzeirei Tira Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

H. Herzliya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirei Tira 50 / 100
H. Herzliya 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirei Tira H. Herzliya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tzeirei Tira or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tzeirei Tira attacking → ← attacking H. Herzliya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirei Tira scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

H. Herzliya let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Tzeirei Tira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H. Herzliya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 22
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kiryat Gat21174053:1855
2Jerusalem FC22114745:2937
3FC Dimona22114729:3037
4Maccabi Yavne22106642:2836
5Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi22105727:2735
6Tzeirei Tira21103833:2433
7Shimshon Tel Aviv2286828:2830
8Beitar Yavne22931027:3430
9Kfar Saba 19282278728:3129
10Holon Yermiyahu22661030:3324
11Hapoel Marmorek22661020:3424
12Hapoel Azor2158817:2023
13H. Herzliya22571022:3622
14Ramat Hasharon22551224:4319
15Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2177737:3516
16Beitar Nordia Jerusalem22361328:4015