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Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Fri, Mar 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tzeirey Um El Fahem host Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef North. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Tzeirey Um El Fahem have averaged 0.38 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Ironi Nesher's 0.38 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Tzeirey Um El Fahem slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.44 vs 0.38, favoring Tzeirey Um El Fahem. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
20%
Draws
38%
Ironi Nesher
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ironi Nesher lately — more wins on the board than Tzeirey Um El Fahem.
  • Model gives Tzeirey Um El Fahem a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Ironi Nesher
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Dec 6, 2024 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher
1:0
Nov 28, 2024 State Cup
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Ironi Nesher
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 42 / 100
Ironi Nesher 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Ironi Nesher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirey Um El Fahem scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

Ironi Nesher's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 20 matches.

Recent resilience: Tzeirey Um El Fahem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Ironi Nesher
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
20 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
1 : 2
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
30 Jan
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
3 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 4

Ironi Nesher

(Away)
27 Feb
Ironi Nesher
0 : 0
Ironi Baka
19 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 0
Ironi Nesher
13 Feb
Ironi Nesher
3 : 1
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
06 Feb
MS Tira
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
30 Jan
Ironi Nesher
1 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
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