Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

Israel Israel

State Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sapir S.
15' Event
Mizrahi A.
55' Event
Mizrahi A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
20%
Draws
38%
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik come out ahead of Tzeirey Um El Fahem on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tzeirey Um El Fahem's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tzeirey Um El Fahem Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
Matches Played 20 23
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1:1
Sep 30, 2025 State Cup
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0:3
Mar 7, 2025 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0:0
Dec 10, 2024 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tzeirey Um El Fahem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sapir S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 42 / 100
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tzeirey Um El Fahem found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (20 games).

Defensive concern: Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik conceded in 74% of 23 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tzeirey Um El Fahem VS Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Home)
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
20 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
1 : 2
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
30 Jan
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
3 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 4

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

(Away)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
3 : 5
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
12 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
06 Feb
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
31 Jan
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2 : 2
Beit Shean
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tirat Karmel0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Nes Tziona1
Hapoel Karmiel2
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera-
TBD-
Hapoel Sderot FC2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba1
Hapoel Jerusalem-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm7
FC Beer Sheva0
TBD-
Kiryat Yam-
Beitar Haifa0
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod5
TBD-
Hapoel Ramat Gan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shmona-
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Yehuda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Afula-
TBD-
Tzeirey Um El Fahem0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3
M. Herzliya-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Akko-
Kfar Saba 19282
Maccabi Yavne0
TBD-
H. Ironi Rishon-
Maccabi HaSharon Netanya1
Bnei Jaffa4
Jerusalem FC6
Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Netanya-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Haifa-
Jadeidi-Makr5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1
TBD-
H. Raanana-
Kiryat Haim1
Hapoel Yarka2
Kfar Kama0
Kiryat Gat1
Ironi Modiin-
TBD-
M. Nazareth2
Beitar Ramat Gan1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Haifa-
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil0
Shimshon Tel Aviv2
TBD-
MS Kafr Qasim-
Shikun Hamizrah0
Holon Yermiyahu5
TBD-
Nof Hagalil-
Ironi Or Yehuda1
FC Dimona3
TBD-
Maccabi Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Saba-
1/32-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva-
TBD-
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Hapoel Karmiel4
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera3
Hapoel Sderot FC4
Hapoel Jerusalem-
TBD-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2
Kiryat Yam1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2
Hapoel Ramat Gan3
TBD-
Shmona-
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Yehuda-
TBD-
Hapoel Afula2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3
M. Herzliya2
Hapoel Akko0
Kfar Saba 19281
H. Ironi Rishon0
Bnei Jaffa1
Jerusalem FC0
TBD-
Netanya-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Haifa-
Jadeidi-Makr0
H. Raanana1
Hapoel Yarka0
Kiryat Gat4
Ironi Modiin1
M. Nazareth3
TBD-
Maccabi Haifa-
Shimshon Tel Aviv0
MS Kafr Qasim2
Holon Yermiyahu1
Nof Hagalil0
FC Dimona1
Maccabi Petah Tikva0
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Saba-
1/16-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
Hapoel Karmiel1
Maccabi Bnei Raina1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Sderot FC1
Hapoel Jerusalem2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0
Hapoel Ramat Gan2
Shmona3
Ironi Tiberias1
Beitar Jerusalem2
Yehuda2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik1
M. Herzliya4
Kfar Saba 19281
Bnei Jaffa0
Netanya6
Sakhnin0
Maccabi Jaffa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
SC Ashdod0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Hapoel Haifa0
H. Raanana4
Kiryat Gat3
M. Nazareth1
Maccabi Haifa8
MS Kafr Qasim3
Holon Yermiyahu1
FC Dimona1
Hapoel Kfar Saba3
1/8-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Bnei Raina2
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Jerusalem1
Shmona0
Beitar Jerusalem2
Yehuda1
M. Herzliya0
Netanya0
Maccabi Jaffa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
H. Raanana0
Maccabi Haifa1
MS Kafr Qasim1
Hapoel Kfar Saba0
Quarter-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina0
H. Beer Sheva3
Beitar Jerusalem1
Yehuda2
Maccabi Jaffa0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Maccabi Haifa2
MS Kafr Qasim0
Semi-finals
H. Beer Sheva3
Yehuda2
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa2
Final
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2