Sport Picks
U. Catolica vs Aucas
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito 
AI Match Summary
U. Catolica host Aucas in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. Aucas have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while U. Catolica have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor U. Catolica slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.19) point toward U. Catolica. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Aucas lately — more wins on the board than U. Catolica.
- Win probability leans U. Catolica's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. Catolica | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: U. Catolica scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
U. Catolica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Aucas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
U. Catolica
(Home)Aucas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 68 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 44 |
| 3 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 44 |
| 4 | Macara | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 42 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 39 |
| 7 | Libertad | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 37 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | 36 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | 36 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 35 |
| 11 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | 32 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | 32 |
| 13 | Orense | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | 30 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | 29 |
| 15 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | 24 |
| 16 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | 20 |
