Sport Picks
U. Catolica vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito 
Match Events
15'
15'
Burdisso M.
33'
33'
Clavijo E.
38'
38'
Martinez F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: U. Catolica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: U. Catolica at 1.72 per game, Aucas at 1.2.
- Win probability leans U. Catolica's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Aucas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. Catolica | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Aucas
1:1
May 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs U. Catolica
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Aucas
6:2
Apr 16, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs U. Catolica
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
U. Catolica vs Aucas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. Catolica Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Aucas Compare
Top Goalscorer Carcelen Carabali M. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. Catolica 50 / 100
Aucas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. Catolica Aucas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: U. Catolica scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
U. Catolica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Aucas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
U. Catolica VS Aucas
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
U. Catolica
(Home) 18 Oct
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 U. Catolica
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Macara
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1 U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 7
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Macara
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1 Manta
01 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 0 Tecnico U.
Page 1 of 3
Aucas
(Away) 17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1 LDU Quito
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1 Aucas
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0 Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1 Aucas
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0 Aucas
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
26 Aug
LDU Quito
1 : 0 Aucas
23 Aug
Delfin
0 : 1 Aucas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
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