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U. Catolica vs Aucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Aucas Logo

Aucas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica host Aucas in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. U. Catolica have averaged 1.74 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Aucas's 1.16 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, U. Catolica have won 2 to Aucas's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.88) point toward U. Catolica. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
U. Catolica
30%
Draws
18%
Aucas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Aucas have managed 1.16 goals a game lately — U. Catolica are scoring more at 1.74.
  • Model gives U. Catolica a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 20%
Aucas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Aucas
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.74 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Aucas
1:1
May 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Aucas vs U. Catolica
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Aucas
6:2
Apr 16, 2025 Liga Pro
Aucas vs U. Catolica
2:1
Mar 7, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
U. Catolica vs Aucas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 40 / 100
Aucas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Aucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aucas let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Aucas
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Macara
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 7

Aucas

(Away)
17 Oct
Aucas
1 : 1
LDU Quito
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle
2 : 1
Aucas
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 32 25 2 5 75:35 77
2 Macara 33 18 6 9 45:34 60
3 LDU Quito 33 15 8 10 36:27 53
4 U. Catolica 32 14 9 9 52:30 51
5 Aucas 33 14 9 10 36:33 51
6 Barcelona SC 31 11 11 9 33:27 44
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)