Sport Picks
U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito 
Match Events
3'
3'
Fajardo J.
Assist: Diaz M.
24'
24'
Vallecilla G.
25'
25'
Londono A.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
U. Catolica in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Catolica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. Catolica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Barcelona SC haven't matched U. Catolica's recent run of results.
- Model gives U. Catolica a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. Catolica | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. Catolica Compare
Top Goalscorer Fajardo J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valencia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Barcelona SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Chala Rosales W. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. Catolica 59 / 100
Barcelona SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. Catolica Barcelona SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
U. Catolica found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Barcelona SC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
U. Catolica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
U. Catolica VS Barcelona SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
U. Catolica
(Home) 20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1 U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1 U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1 U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1 Aucas
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1 Manta
01 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 0 Tecnico U.
22 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 3
Barcelona SC
(Away) 13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1 Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1 Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0 Orense
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
16 Aug
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0 Barcelona SC
06 Aug
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 0 Barcelona SC
02 Aug
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
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