Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

Barcelona SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. U. Catolica have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Barcelona SC's 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, U. Catolica have won 1 to Barcelona SC's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.44) back Barcelona SC to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

U. Catolica

39%

Draws

30%

Barcelona SC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

U. Catolica haven't matched Barcelona SC's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 16%

Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Catolica	Barcelona SC
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	10	16
Draws	8	9
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Dec 7, 2025 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Nov 2, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Aug 31, 2025 Liga Pro

Barcelona SC vs U. Catolica

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

May 11, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Barcelona SC

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 31 / 100

Barcelona SC 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Catolica Barcelona SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Barcelona SC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

U. Catolica has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Barcelona SC

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	18	14	1	3	40:19	43
2	Aucas	18	9	5	4	21:16	32
3	Barcelona SC	18	8	6	4	20:13	30
4	LDU Quito	18	8	4	6	19:14	28
5	Dep. Cuenca	18	8	3	7	18:20	27
6	U. Catolica	18	7	5	6	28:18	26
7	Macara	18	7	5	6	18:18	26
8	Emelec	18	6	6	6	14:17	24
9	Tecnico U.	18	7	2	9	19:19	23
10	Leones del Norte	18	6	5	7	19:19	23
11	Orense	18	6	5	7	22:24	23
12	Guayaquil City	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
13	Mushuc Runa	18	5	6	7	23:27	21
14	Libertad	18	4	6	8	17:25	18
15	Delfin	18	4	5	9	10:18	17
16	Manta	18	3	4	11	7:23	13