Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

Delfin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica play Delfin in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, U. Catolica averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Delfin averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, U. Catolica won 2, Delfin won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for U. Catolica and 1.31 for Delfin. This points to a U. Catolica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

U. Catolica

31%

Draws

29%

Delfin

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

U. Catolica picked up more points recently compared to Delfin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 18%

Delfin Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Catolica	Delfin
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	10	8
Draws	10	6
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.42	0.59
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Delfin

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Sep 13, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Delfin

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

May 18, 2025 Liga Pro

Delfin vs U. Catolica

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Sep 23, 2024 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Delfin

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Apr 7, 2024 Liga Pro

Delfin vs U. Catolica

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fajardo J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Delfin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ushina K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 40 / 100

Delfin 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Catolica Delfin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. Catolica or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. Catolica attacking → ← attacking Delfin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Delfin let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Delfin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 30

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	17	13	1	3	36:18	40
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	Aucas	17	8	5	4	20:16	29
4	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
5	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
6	U. Catolica	17	7	5	5	28:17	26
7	Tecnico U.	17	7	2	8	19:17	23
8	Macara	17	6	5	6	16:18	23
9	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
10	Orense	17	6	4	7	22:24	22
11	Mushuc Runa	17	5	6	6	22:23	21
12	Leones del Norte	17	5	5	7	18:19	20
13	Guayaquil City	17	5	4	8	14:20	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	17	3	3	11	7:23	12