Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

U. Catolica

3 - 0

Leones del Norte

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Solano C.

32'

Alonso M.

Assist: Valencia E.

46'

Sub

Solano C. In: Caramuto M.

Out: Solano C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Catolica in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

U. Catolica

33%

Draws

40%

Leones del Norte

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Leones del Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to U. Catolica lately — more wins on the board than Leones del Norte.
Win probability leans Leones del Norte's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 15%

Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Catolica	Leones del Norte
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	11	10
Draws	8	10
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Liga Pro

Leones del Norte vs U. Catolica

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Leones del Norte

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Canga L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Leones del Norte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 27 / 100

Leones del Norte 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Catolica Leones del Norte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: U. Catolica scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Leones del Norte conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

U. Catolica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Leones del Norte

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	19	15	1	3	43:19	46
2	Aucas	19	9	5	5	21:19	32
3	Barcelona SC	19	8	7	4	21:14	31
4	U. Catolica	19	8	5	6	29:18	29
5	Macara	19	8	5	6	20:19	29
6	LDU Quito	19	8	4	7	19:15	28
7	Dep. Cuenca	19	8	4	7	19:21	28
8	Emelec	19	7	6	6	16:17	27
9	Leones del Norte	19	6	6	7	20:20	24
10	Tecnico U.	19	7	2	10	19:20	23
11	Orense	19	6	5	8	22:26	23
12	Guayaquil City	19	6	5	8	17:22	23
13	Mushuc Runa	19	5	6	8	24:29	21
14	Libertad	19	5	6	8	18:25	21
15	Delfin	19	5	5	9	11:18	20
16	Manta	19	3	4	12	7:24	13