Sport Picks
U. Catolica vs Nublense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Primera Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile 
Match Events
8'
8'
Zuqui F.
11'
11'
Sanhueza D.
43'
43'
Giani J.
AI Match Summary
Nublense in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nublense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. Catolica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Nublense haven't matched U. Catolica's recent run of results.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on U. Catolica taking it.
- Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Nublense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. Catolica | Nublense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Nublense
1:2
May 10, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. Catolica vs Nublense
1:1
Mar 25, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Nublense vs U. Catolica
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Primera
Nublense vs U. Catolica
1:2
Oct 9, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Nublense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. Catolica Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Nublense Compare
Top Goalscorer Calderon E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jeraldino I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. Catolica 95 / 100
Nublense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. Catolica Nublense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
U. Catolica's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Nublense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: U. Catolica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
U. Catolica VS Nublense
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
U. Catolica
(Home) 26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1 U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3 U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1 U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2 O Higgins
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26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Union La Calera
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2 O Higgins
23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2 Nublense
19 Aug
U. Catolica
0 : 3 Estudiantes L.P.
08 Aug
U. Catolica
2 : 0 Cobresal
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Nublense
(Away) 26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
12 Sept
Nublense
1 : 3 Everton
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1 Nublense
03 Sept
Limache
2 : 0 Nublense
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22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1 Nublense
03 Sept
Limache
2 : 0 Nublense
23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2 Nublense
11 Aug
A. Italiano
2 : 2 Nublense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48:22 | 54 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50:33 | 42 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35:19 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37:25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:33 | 36 |
| 6 | Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43:35 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | 32 |
| 8 | D. Concepcion | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 | La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | 30 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:31 | 28 |
| 13 | O Higgins | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28:36 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34:44 | 24 |
| 15 | U. De Concepcion | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19:40 | 17 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)
