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U. Catolica vs San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Munoz L.
Assist: Pastenes F.
27'
Ampuero B.
29' Event
Zampedri F.
Assist: Giani J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
U. Catolica
15%
Draws
51%
San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to U. Catolica lately — more wins on the board than San Luis.
  • Win probability leans San Luis's way, sitting at 40%.
  • U. Catolica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 16%
San Luis Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica San Luis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.9 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa Chile
San Luis vs U. Catolica
4:0
Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile
U. Catolica vs San Luis
4:2
Apr 3, 2025 Copa Chile
U. Catolica vs San Luis
2:3
Feb 1, 2025 Copa Chile
San Luis vs U. Catolica
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs San Luis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zampedri F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corral D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 28 / 100
San Luis 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

San Luis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: U. Catolica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS San Luis
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

San Luis

(Away)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)